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Taiwanese sea drones can’t sink our ships, mainland Chinese media says - South China Morning Post

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“Even if Taiwan builds a lot of unmanned ships, it probably wouldn’t have a chance to use them,” Shao Yongling, a Chinese military analyst, told the Defence Review programme.

She said the Taiwanese authorities might have watched Ukraine’s use of nautical drones to sink ships from Russia’s Black Sea fleet and want to copy its “swarming wolf pack” tactics, but argued that the People’s Liberation Army would be able to disable all drone bases in Taiwan before launching any naval operations.

“Most of Taiwan’s military installations, such as weapons depots including its airports and harbours, would be targeted in the first wave of strikes,” she said.

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“Is there any chance that these unmanned boats could be released to attack the vessels of the PLA Navy?”

Another military observer Wei Dongxu told CCTV that even if the drones survived, they only had a range of 70km (43 miles) and rely on signal relay stations, which are vulnerable to the PLA’s electronic jamming and interference.

Wei added that naval drone boats are fragile and vulnerable to even small and medium-calibre guns, and therefore the PLA’s maritime combat system is “fully capable” of defending against them.

“If they were to carry out a surprise attack with these drone boats, they would end up in a trap themselves,” Wei said.

Project Rapid & Surprising was set up last year by the National Chung-Shan Institute of Science & Technology, Taiwan’s government-owned institution for weapon development.

The project completed a pre-study phase in late April and Taiwan’s media said the fact the study took only three months showed the government and the military were well aware of the urgent need to develop naval drones.

The two-year programme has a budget of about NTD$812 million (US$25 million), and is expected to complete combat evaluations by the end of 2025 and produce at least 200 boats in 2026.

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The institute plans to design two models – sized around 10 and 20 metres (32-64 feet) – using existing remote-controlled target boats used in air force surface target training as a prototype.

The naval drones will be remotely controlled and will be fitted with stealth hulls, drone signal relays and AI-guided terminal controls.

Taiwanese media has reported that they will be used to carry out kamikaze attacks on incoming PLA ships in the event of an attempted attack from the mainland.

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Taiwanese sea drones can’t sink our ships, mainland Chinese media says - South China Morning Post
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